In 2025, the global political map is expected to see important electoral events that will have a significant impact not only on the domestic politics of the respective countries, but also on international processes, including those related to Ukraine. Elections in Germany, Poland, Moldova, the Czech Republic, Romania, and Canada will be critical moments for shaping the future political course of these countries. In the context of growing threats, disinformation campaigns, and geopolitical tensions, the results of these elections will directly affect support for Ukraine in its struggle for territorial integrity, integration into the EU and NATO, and the overall political balance in Europe and the world. Each of these electoral processes has its own unique specifics that create opportunities and challenges for our country. How the future parliament in Germany, president in Poland, or parliament in Moldova will shape their positions on the war, sanctions against Russia, or Ukraine’s membership in European structures may be key to determining the course of international support for Ukraine. So, which electoral processes will Ukraine be watching in 2025?
Parliamentary elections in Germany
Early elections in Germany, scheduled for February 23, 2025, after the dissolution of the Bundestag by President Frank-Walter Steinmeier, will be held due to the status of a stable parliamentary position. The main candidates are the ruling SPD, the opposition CDU, the Greens, and the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD). The AfD, which has Russian influence, is growing in popularity and is defending Ukraine’s concerns. Preliminary polls favor the CDU as the leader.
Presidential elections in Romania
Romania is preparing for new presidential elections after the Constitutional Court annulled the results of the first round. Pro-Russian Calin Georgescu and pro-European Elena Lasconi are to compete in the upcoming round. Gorgescu appealed the decision to the ECHR, but the country will start the election over again: the first round on March 23 and the second on April 6. Until then, the pro-Ukrainian Klaus Iohannis will remain president for a while. However, the upcoming elections may change, as some candidates support territorial concessions to Ukraine.
Presidential elections in Poland
Andrzej Duda is completing his second term and cannot run in the May 18 elections. The main contenders for the presidency of Poland are Warsaw Mayor Rafał Trzaskowski (Civic Coalition) and historian Karol Nawrocki (PiS). Also running in the election will be Szymon Holovnia (Poland 2050), Slawomir Mencen (Confederation), Marek Jakubiak and Magdalena Beyat (Left). According to polls, Trzaskowski is leading, supporting Ukraine as Poland’s national interest.
Elections to the Parliament of Moldova
Moldova is preparing for parliamentary elections on July 11, 2025, which will be a key test for Maia Sandu’s European Action and Justice party. Russia, like during the presidential election, plans to influence the results by bribing voters. According to polls, Sandu’s party has equal chances with pro-Russian forces, which may force it to form a coalition or lose less. If the pro-Russian parties win, the situation in the country and the region, including for Ukraine, could become much more complicated.
Parliamentary elections in the Czech Republic
The Czech Republic remains a key ally of Ukraine, but the parliamentary elections in October 2025 could change the political course. The growing influence of pro-Russian forces, Russia’s active disinformation campaign, and the possible success of Andrej Babiš’s ANO party pose a threat. Babiš, while initially supporting sanctions against Russia, opposes Ukraine’s membership in the EU, which could undermine current support.
Parliamentary elections in Canada
On October 25, 2025, Canada will hold elections that could be a turning point in the country’s political life. Justin Trudeau, the prime minister since 2015, is losing popularity, which affects the Liberal Party’s ratings. Instead, support for the Conservative Party, led by Pierre Poilievre, is growing. The main struggle will unfold between these two forces, as well as the NDP, the Bloc Québécois, and the Greens, with a focus on the economy, social reforms, and domestic policy.
Prepared by Daria Dolgopola, Ukrainian Conservative Youth
